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Feb 18, 2014 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

February 18, 2014

Feb 18, 2014 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

day1otlk

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0134 PM CST TUE FEB 18 2014

VALID 182000Z – 191200Z

…NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST…

…TN/OH VALLEY REGION TO THE CAROLINAS TONIGHT…

EARLIER THOUGHTS REGARDING THE POTENTIAL FOR CONVECTION TO EVOLVE ACROSS THE TN VALLEY REMAIN. LATEST DIAGNOSTIC/SATELLITE DATA SUGGEST A GRADUAL NWD ADVANCE TO HIGHER QUALITY MOISTURE ACROSS THE LOWER LATITUDES OF THE CONUS EAST OF THE ROCKIES. PW VALUES AOA ONE INCH APPEAR CORRELATED WELL WITH THICKER CLOUDINESS OBSERVED FROM THE COASTAL PLAINS OF TX…ARCING ACROSS THE LOWER MS VALLEY TO AN APEX ALONG THE MS/AL BORDER. THIS MOISTURE SHOULD CONTINUE TO ADVANCE NWD TOWARD THE TN VALLEY…EVENTUALLY LEADING TO THE POSSIBILITY FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT AS DESCRIBED BY 1630Z OUTLOOK.

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