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Apr 25, 2014 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

April 24, 2014

Apr 25, 2014 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

day1otlk

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0748 PM CDT THU APR 24 2014

VALID 250100Z – 251200Z

…THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI AND TENNESSEE VALLEYS…

…SUMMARY…
SCATTERED STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY THIS EVENING…WITH THE ACTIVITY SPREADING EAST INTO PARTS OF THE LOWER OHIO AND LOWER TENNESSEE VALLEYS THROUGH EARLY FRIDAY MORNING. DAMAGING WINDS AND ISOLATED LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREATS.

…SYNOPSIS…
THE SLIGHT RISK AREA HAS BEEN TRIMMED ON THE WESTERN AND NORTHERN EDGES BASED ON LATEST POSITION OF SFC COLD FRONT AND THE JUXTAPOSITION OF BETTER LOW LEVEL MOISTURE/LAPSE RATES AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR OVER THE LOWER MS VALLEY. A CLUSTER OF STORMS CURRENTLY MOVING INTO SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS AS WELL AS ANOTHER CLUSTER FURTHER EAST MOVING INTO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI WILL POSE THE GREATEST THREAT FOR STRONG WINDS…ISOLATED LARGE HAIL AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO IN THE SHORT TERM. AS THESE STORM CLUSTERS TRACK EASTWARD OVERNIGHT…A THREAT FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND HAIL WILL CONTINUE INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY.

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