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May 5, 2014 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

May 4, 2014

May 5, 2014 0100 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

day1otlk

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0717 PM CDT SUN MAY 04 2014

VALID 050100Z – 051200Z

…NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST…

…SUMMARY…
A FEW WEAK THUNDERSTORMS WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE ACROSS MONTANA THIS EVENING…WITH ISOLATED NIGHTTIME STORMS ACROSS NORTHERN ILLINOIS…INDIANA AND OHIO POSSIBLY PRODUCING SMALL HAIL.

…MT…
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THAT FORMED DUE TO DAYTIME HEATING AND FAVORING THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS WILL CONTINUE TO DIMINISH THIS EVENING AS INSTABILITY WANES. UNTIL THEN… FAVORABLE DEEP LAYER SHEAR MAY ALLOW A FEW SMALL CORES TO PRODUCE SMALL HAIL AND GUSTY WINDS.

…NRN IL…IND…OH LATE…
A STRONGLY VEERED LOW-LEVEL JET WILL HELP ENHANCE THETA-E ADVECTION NEWD INTO THE REGION LATE TONIGHT WITH A NW-SE ORIENTED ZONE OF LIFT WHERE GRADUAL MOISTENING MAY RESULT IN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. COOL TEMPERATURES ALOFT AND INCREASING WINDS WITH HEIGHT SUGGEST HAIL LESS THAN 1 INCH DIAMETER COULD OCCUR WITH THE MAIN LIMITING FACTOR BEING MOISTURE QUALITY.

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