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May 5, 2014 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

May 5, 2014

May 5, 2014 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

day1otlk

DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0300 PM CDT MON MAY 05 2014

VALID 052000Z – 061200Z

…THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS OVER A PART OF SWRN VA AND NWRN NC…

…SUMMARY…
STRONG TO MARGINALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON…OVER A SMALL PART OF WEST VIRGINIA…AND NORTH CAROLINA. ANOTHER SMALL THREAT AREA WILL DEVELOP OVER THE BLACK HILLS REGION AND SURROUNDING HIGH PLAINS.

…SWRN VA THROUGH NWRN AND NCNTRL NC…

HAVE INCLUDED A SMALL SLIGHT RISK AREA TO ACCOUNT FOR STORMS CURRENTLY DEVELOPING ALONG BAROCLINIC ZONE IN WARM ADVECTION REGIME TO BECOME SURFACE BASED AS THEY DEVELOP SEWD THROUGH SWRN VA AND NWRN NC. DESPITE LIMITED LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE…STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR…STEEP LAPSE RATES AND AT LEAST MARGINAL INSTABILITY WILL SUPPORT A THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND.

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