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May 10, 2014 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

May 10, 2014

May 10, 2014 2000 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook

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DAY 1 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0251 PM CDT SAT MAY 10 2014

VALID 102000Z – 111200Z

…THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE CNTRL PLAINS…MID MO VALLEY AND MID TO UPPER MS VALLEY…

…SUMMARY…
WIDELY SCATTERED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT FROM PARTS OF NEBRASKA AND KANSAS EASTWARD INTO MUCH OF MISSOURI AND SOUTHERN IOWA. LARGE HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE THREAT…ALTHOUGH TORNADOES AND LOCALLY DAMAGING WIND ALSO WILL BE POSSIBLE.

THE ONLY CHANGE TO THE OUTLOOK FOR THIS ISSUANCE IS TO ADD A 5 PERCENT WIND DAMAGE PROBABILITY FROM NRN SC NEWD ACROSS WCNTRL NC WHERE NUMEROUS SEVERE STORMS ARE ONGOING. THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD HAVE A WIND DAMAGE THREAT THROUGH LATE AFTERNOON MAINLY DUE TO STEEP LOW-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WHICH SHOULD HELP WITH DOWNDRAFT ACCELERATION.

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